MVA: Rationale and Practical Calculations as Margining Rules Tighten
In the wake of regulatory initial margining requirements, counterparty credit risk has reduced and thus CVA has declined. However, increased dealer costs associated with IM have forced banks to take a closer look at its impact on profitability, giving rise to the Margin Valuation Adjustment (MVA).
On September 20th, Numerix Director of Quantitative Research, Andrew McClelland, Ph.D., explained the pricing and profitability impacts of this shift for banks, explored some of the complexities posed by initial margin requirements and the margining processes for cleared and non-cleared trades, and offered an introduction to MVA calculations and the complex computational challenges they present.
Dr. McClelland covered the following topics:
- Overview of Initial Margin and How it Helps to Reduce Counterparty Risk
- Initial Margin Requirements
- Cleared Trades and Clearing Member Responsibilities
- Regulatory Initiatives for Non-Cleared Trades
- Evidence of Initial Margin Impact on Cleared Trades
- ISDA’s SIMM
- Motivations and High-Level Overview
- Sensitivity Definitions and Aggregation Hierarchy
- Margin Valuation Adjustment
- How do We Capture the Cost of Initial Margin?
- Aggregation Level, Incremental Impacts and Initial Margin on Hedges
- Simulating Future Sensitivities for SIMM and CCH Initial Margin
- Key Takeaways
Initial margin has long been a requirement for counterparties clearing trades through central clearing houses and is known to have an impact on dealer costs. As mandatory bilateral posting of initial margin for non-cleared trades is being phased in, bilateral initial margin is likely to have even more pronounced impacts on dealer costs. Banks that don’t begin updating pricing platforms to reflect the anticipated costs of posting initial margin will be at risk of incurring losses through the long-term effects of these costs on the portfolio.
Margin Valuation Adjustment (MVA) prices in these costs by projecting the expected bilateral initial margin requirements for a trade. Calculating MVA will require the simulation of ISDA’s SIMM over the life of the trade, or portfolio, which presents certain computational challenges that render it more of a burden than CVA calculations. Specifically, it will be necessary to simulate the sensitivities of that trade over its entire life. One benefit of examining this problem is that simulated sensitivities could also be used to approximate clearing-house initial margin, yielding a reasonable approach to computing clearing-house MVA.
Featured Speakers
Andrew McClelland, Ph.D.
Andrew McClelland’s quantitative research at Numerix focuses on XVA pricing and hedging, generating counterparty credit risk metrics for structured products, and estimating risk model parameters via time-series estimation. He earned his PhD in finance at the Queensland University of Technology for a thesis on financial econometrics. He considered markets exhibiting crash feedback, option pricing for such markets, and parameter estimation for such markets using particle filtering methods. Dr. McClelland’s work has been published in the Journal of Banking and Finance, the Journal of Econometrics, and the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics.
As Chief Marketing Officer and Executive Vice President of Global Marketing & Corporate Communications, James leads the company’s global marketing and corporate communications efforts, spanning a diverse set of solutions and audiences. He oversees integrated marketing communications to clients in the largest global financial markets and to the Numerix partner network through the company's branding, electronic marketing, research, events, public relations, advertising and relationship marketing.
Since joining Numerix in 2008, James has launched the organization’s award-winning thought leadership program, bringing to light challenges and insights from Numerix market experts. He also hosts the Numerix Video Blog, tackling the challenges pressing the derivatives markets—from regulatory issues to trading strategies.
Prior to joining Numerix, James served as Managing Director of Global Marketing and Communications for Fitch Ratings. During his tenure at Fitch, he built the firm’s public relations program, oversaw investor relations and led marketing and communications plans for several acquisitions. Prior to Fitch, James was a member of the communications team at Moody's Investors Service.